Who
Will Control Your Thermostat?
By
Joseph Somsel
"There
is nothing wrong with your thermostat. Do not attempt to adjust the temperature.
We are controlling your power consumption. If we wish to make it hotter, we will
turn off your air conditioner. If we wish to make it cooler, we will turn off
your heater. For the next millennium, sit quietly and we will control your home
temperature. We repeat, there is nothing wrong with your thermostat. You are about
to participate in a great adventure. You are about to experience the awe and mystery
which reaches from the inner mind to... SACRAMENTO!"*
Building
codes and engineering standards are generally good things. Updating and improving
codes and standards better protect us against earthquakes, for example, as we
better understand the weak points and failure modes of existing construction techniques.
Requirements that ensure proper handling of sanitary wastes can be largely credited
with the increased life spans in industrialized countries through the reduction
of communicable diseases.
In
California, we have 236 pages of state-mandated standards for building energy
efficiency, known as Title 24. This prescribes methods for calculating the sizes
of your home windows, the capacities of your air conditioner and heater, the thickness
of the insulation in your attic. A small cottage industry has sprung up to perform
these engineering calculations that are required for any new commercial or residential
construction or major change to existing structures. While I've never personally
been involved in this branch of retail professional engineering, I've had colleagues
who would moonlight doing Title 24 calcs. It is now just part of the mandated
paperwork involved in the construction business these days in California.
A
new revision to Title 24 is in the works for 2008[2] and it includes a number
of improvements and enhancements that are largely good sense items and should
be non-controversial. For example a new swimming pool will probably need larger
diameter pipes between the pool, the filter and the pump than was former practice.
This will reduce the fluid friction losses that your pump must overcome and hence
reduce the pump's consumption of electricity, albeit at a minor increase in first
cost for the larger pipes and fittings. Another good idea is a requirement for
lighter colored shingles, the "Cool Roof Initiative." That is intended
to reduce heat loss over cold winter nights by emission and heat gain on summer
days by absorption. My neighbor and I both recently discovered that it is difficult
to get roofers to NOT use dark colored shingles for some reason. Having a little
state muscle behind us will help, especially for renters.
What
should be controversial in the proposed revisions to Title 24 is the requirement
for what is called a "programmable communicating thermostat" or PCT.
Every new home and every change to existing homes' central heating and air conditioning
systems will required to be fitted with a PCT beginning next year following the
issuance of the revision. Each PCT will be fitted with a "non-removable "
FM receiver that will allow the power authorities to increase your air conditioning
temperature setpoint or decrease your heater temperature setpoint to any value
they chose. During "price events" those changes are limited to +/- four
degrees F and you would be able to manually override the changes. During "emergency
events" the new setpoints can be whatever the power authority desires and
you would not be able to alter them.
In
other words, the temperature of your home will no longer be yours to control.
Your desires and needs can and will be overridden by the state of California through
its public and private utility organizations. All this is for the common good,
of course.
In
some technocratic worldview, it does have a justification. California's population
growth and its affluence have strained the state's electric and natural gas resources.
Famously, rolling blackouts have occurred due to shortages of electrical generation
during peak periods. Unbeknownst to most citizens, short supplies of natural gas
during cold weather have resulted in curtailments of delivery to industrial and
large commercial customers. Those last kilowatts tend to be very expensive kilowatts
and tend to drive up the average cost of electricity for all.
But
the discomforts of compliance will fall unevenly across the state. Come the next
heat wave, the elites might be comfortably lolling in La Jolla's ocean breezes
or basking in Berkeley by the Bay, while the Central Valley's poor peons are baking
in Bakersfield and frying in Fresno. California's coastal climate, where the elites
live, seldom requires air conditioning. I've lived a middle class life style in
Mill Valley, San Francisco, San Luis Obispo and now San Jose, and never have I
lived in a home with air conditioning. Even in relatively warm San Jose, separated
from the Pacific Ocean by the Coast Range, ceiling fans will get a family through
the worst.
How
will the state ensure compliance and prevent free riders? As above, coastal elites
are already free riders as they will see the benefits while paying none of the
costs except for the higher first cost of a PCT. For initial construction or home
remodeling, it will be one of those items a building inspector will check before
signing a certificate of occupancy. Replacing one's mandated PCT with a bootleg
unit from Nevada should be within the skill of most homeowners. A low powered
FM transmitter might easily be devised to override the broadcast commands for
low cost. Even a metal wire shield around your PCT could block its FM reception.
Adding a window air conditioner or an electric space heater are other work-arounds
as neither have requirements for PCTs - yet. Sweating for the common good is for
the chumps.
Another
problem is that PCTs will obscure the price signals to power plant developers
telling them that it will be profitable to build additional generation. As explained
in this article, a deregulated electric market will come to resemble other commodity
markets, like pork bellies, where shortages cause high prices that induce new
capacity and low (or obscured) prices inhibit investment. When bacon prices are
high, farmers arrange dates between their sows and their boars in hopes of future,
profitable piglets. When bacon prices are low, farmers are more interested in
chastity for their herds. If the state "shaves" peak loads by adjusting
your thermostat during "price events," generators will not receive the
higher prices. This effect will reinforce electrical shortages much like rent
control discourages apartment building.
The
real question poised by this invasion of the sanctity of our homes by state power
is -- why are we doing this? It seems to me to be the wrong fix for a problem
that we don't have to have. The common sense alternative is to build new power
plants so that power shortages don't occur. Of course, they can't be coal or nuclear
power plants! The coastal elites have their minds set against those undesirables.
The state has wasted billions of our dollars on wind generation that hasn't helped
to meet peak loads. For natural gas, offshore drilling should be considered. While
we have one liquefied natural gas terminal in Mexico supplying us with Indonesian
and, in the near future, Russian, LNG, another receiving terminal to be supplied
by Australian LNG was rejected by the State Coastal Commission.
While
nowhere in the Bill of Rights is there explicitly a right to set one's own thermostat
to whatever temperature one desires (and is able to pay for), the new PCT requirement
certainly seems to violate the "a man's home is his castle" common law
dictum.
Californians
have until January 30th to send their opinions and comments on the pending revisions
to Title 24 to the California Energy Commission[1]. Legislators too[2].
*With
apologies to the creators of the TV science fiction series, "The Outer Limits."