The
Reality of Recent UFO Sightings By
Benjamin Radford, Special to LiveScience America
has seen a spate of alleged UFO sightings in recent weeks and months. Eyewitnesses
in Arizona, Illinois, Arkansas, North Carolina, and other states have reported
seeing mysterious lights and objects in the sky. Among
the sightings: - In
November 2006, United Airlines employees reported seeing a large, dark, “saucer-shaped”
craft over a terminal at Chicago’s O’Hare airport. It hovered for a
while, then suddenly rose and shot up into the sky.
- In
January 2007, multiple eyewitnesses reported seeing a formation of mysterious
bright lights in the sky over western Arkansas, moving too slowly to be aircraft.
- Similar lights
were reported this week over Phoenix.
Could
such sightings be alien spacecraft? Of course it’s possible; many things
are possible. The question is not what is possible but what is probable—what
evidence and logic suggest. Before jumping to conclusions about ETs in spacecraft,
we must look at the most likely explanations. What's
more likely? Without
some independent confirmation or other evidence, it’s hard to know what the
United Airlines employees might have seen. But is it more likely that they saw
an optical illusion, or that a large, unknown object hovered over one of the country’s
busiest airports without being seen by anyone else or appearing on radar? The
lights over Arkansas and Arizona had something in common: they were both seen
near military bases, at a time when Air Force pilots were dropping very bright
flares from parachutes during training. The flares, producing in some cases nearly
2 million candlepower, would be visible for miles. So
is it more likely that the mysterious lights were actually alien spacecraft, or
that people simply saw the aerial magnesium flares released at the same time and
place? (It would in fact be much more mysterious if no one had reported seeing
lights in the sky at that time!) Any
object seen in the sky, especially at night, can be very difficult to identify
because of the limitations of human perception. Knowing how far away something
is helps us determine its size and speed; that’s why we know that moving
cars seen at a distance aren’t really smaller, nor are they moving slowly;
it’s simply an optical illusion. If the eyewitness doesn’t know the
distance, then he or she cannot determine the size. Is that thing in the sky twenty
feet long and 200 yards away, or is it 200 feet long and a mile away? It’s
impossible to know, and this makes estimates of size, distance and speed very
unreliable. Recipe
for a UFO There
is a more fundamental problem with such sightings, and it is revealed in the acronym
UFO: unidentified flying object. All
that is needed to create a UFO sighting is one person who may not recognize a
light or object in the sky. But just because one person—or even several people—can’t
immediately identify or explain something they see doesn’t mean that someone
else with more training or experience (or even the same person seeing the same
object from a different angle) may not instantly recognize it. Astronomers,
who spend the most time looking at the sky, rarely report UFOs. This is because
they often recognize aerial phenomena (odd clouds, comets, etc.) that the average
person would consider strange or unexplainable. |
