Alien
Sociology By
Seth Shostak SETI Institute posted: 27 March 2008 06:49 am ET According
to Hollywood, Earth is surely one of the galaxy's "top places to visit before
you die." Cinema aliens come here often enough that the State Department
should probably set up passport control. Of
course, that's fiction. But in the last hundred years, Homo sapiens has been flamboyantly
belching clues into space that could alert technically savvy extraterrestrials
of our presence. Radar and television, odd chemical compounds in the atmosphere,
and even the occasional spacecraft sent beyond the heliopause are all messages
in bottles that could conceivably wash up on the shores of ET's planet. When
I point this out in talks, a frequent reaction is "Won't they come here and
kill us?" I offer this response as proof of the general optimism of 21st
century humankind. Nonetheless,
maybe this dystopian view is worth considering. Would the extraterrestrials come
here if not to kill us then to take our resources or compromise
our virtue? The
answer, of course, falls within the discipline of alien sociology a field
in which the data are, shall we say, sparse. Indeed, since we have no idea what
the mores or motivations of extraterrestrials might be, you might conclude that,
really, there's nothing we can say about whether the aliens would come here or
not. But there's
an alternative to this "know-nothing" approach. Let's consider what
might conceivably encourage visits by those who've learned that humans are strutting
and fretting upon Earth's stage. After all, we've unraveled a few things about
astronomy and physics, if not much about alien comportment. Taking
our cue from Tinseltown, I note that most cineplex sentients come to Earth either
to solve some sort of ugly reproductive crisis or simply to take over the planet.
The former doesn't make any sense whatsoever. You can't breed with creatures at
the zoo, despite the fact that most of the base pairs in the inmates' DNA are
identical to yours (note that this is a biological incompatibility, and not just
zoo regulations). The aliens, needless to say, will have a different biochemistry,
and probably no DNA at all. Forget, if you can, the breeding experiments. Taking
over the planet would only make sense if there were something really special about
our world. The best guess of the exoplanet specialists is that the number of Earth-size
planets in our galaxy exceeds tens of billions. That doesn't sound like our hunk
of real estate is terribly privileged. They
won't come here to mine our minerals, either. The entire universe is built of
the same stuff, and while the solar system has a higher percentage of heavy elements
than found in many stellar realms, it turns out that this is precisely the condition
that seems to foster planet formation. In other words, ET's own solar system will
be similarly blessed with these useful materials. So why would they come here
and incur multi-light-year transport charges? Colonization?
A hunt for additional living space? If the former is something aliens do, then
they won't wait to hear from us before doing it. The British, after all, didn't
begin their colonization of Australia because they had intercepted some aboriginal
communications. As
for getting a bit of lebensraum, well, planets are not great new habitat, because
they're spheres. They're cursed with the minimum surface area for their mass.
As pointed out three decades ago by Gerry O'Neill, it's both more efficient and
enormously cheaper to build artificial habitats in your home star system. OK,
you argue, but Earth is more than just a handy source of gold or molybdenum, more
than merely random cosmic acreage aching to be invaded and subdued. It's an exceptional
habitat for life. Water, oceans ... it's so gosh-darn good, it's positively rare.
The aliens will find our world lovable because it's livable. Well,
that doesn't pass the smell test, either. If the type of world that can support
life is rare, then you don't have to worry about nearby extraterrestrials. There
won't be any. Other
suggestions about why they might visit include forestalling competition in the
Milky Way marketplace, proselytizing, or just learning more about us. It's not
clear that any of these goals requires "killing us," of course, but
the logic is wobbly anyway. Any beings that actually could come here will be far
beyond us in technological accomplishment. Imagine if you could visit the Neanderthals.
Would you worry about commercial competition? Would you give them bibles? Remember:
these are (nearly) the same species as you are. The aliens won't be. I dare say
you wouldn't try convincing porpoises to join your church. Then
again, there's that last point: they just want to learn more about us. Well, perhaps
so. Maybe that's really what's interesting about Homo sapiens. Not grabbing our
habitat, saving our souls (or our environment), or subverting our industrial output
but assaying our culture. I'm willing to consider that even very advanced
beings might find our culture mildly worthy of study. Keep
in mind that if they're near enough to find us, that implies that there are many,
many galactic societies (otherwise the distances between any two of them will
be enormous). If there are lots of them, then we're just another entry in a big
book. Once again, not all that special. Kind of like another weird fish found
in the Atlantic. I don't expect mammoth expeditions to be sent our way. But
in any case, if they do pick up our TV signals or even bother to get in
touch then they can study our society from home. It's a lot cheaper and
a lot faster than bridging the light-years. I
guess the State Department doesn't need to set up that passport control. |